姚顺雨:AI 进入后半场,评估比训练更重要
姚顺雨在博客中提出 AI 已进入后半场,重心将从开发新训练方法与模型转向定义问题,评估变得比训练更重要。他认为 RL 终于能泛化,语言预训练提供的先验、把推理加入动作空间以及环境三者构成了通用配方,使基准被标准化攻克。由此他提出效用问题,指出评估假设与真实世界存在差异,例如评估默认自动运行且任务独立同分布,而现实中智能体需与人持续交互、任务按顺序累积。
yond the working recipe. It is hard because humans have inertia and seldom question basic assumptions - you just take them for granted without realizing they are assumptions, not laws. To explain inertia, suppose you invented one of the most successful evals in history based on human exams. It was an extremely bold idea in 2021, but 3 years later it’s saturated. What would you do? Most likely create a much harder exam. Or suppose you solved simply coding tasks. What would you do? Most likely fin
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