Nomura: AI capex caught in a dilemma—accelerating pressures cash flow, slowing means the growth story breaks
Charlie McElligott, cross-asset strategist at Nomura Securities, pointed out that hyperscale cloud providers' AI capital expenditure has fallen into a dilemma: continuing to accelerate will pressure free cash flow, while a substantial slowdown would mean AI demand and earnings expectations break down—both paths point to AI assets being sold off. In the most violent single-day selloff of the past week, 47 of the 124 US equity long-short pairs monitored by Nomura moved more than 3 standard deviations, and 6 moved more than 5 standard deviations; over the past two weeks, CTA trend strategies have closed about $68 billion of US Treasury futures shorts and $38 billion of short-term interest rate futures shorts. Next week, earnings from Google, Amazon and Microsoft and the Federal Reserve's policy meeting will test the market's direction.
Charlie McElligott, cross-asset strategist at Nomura Securities, pointed out that hyperscale cloud providers' AI capital expenditure has fallen into a dilemma: continuing to accelerate will pressure free cash flow, while a substantial slowdown would mean AI demand and earnings expectations break down—both paths point to AI assets being sold off. In the most violent single-day selloff of the past week, 47 of the 124 US equity long-short pairs monitored by Nomura moved more than 3 standard deviati
Matched fieldsBody

