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Ethan Mollick argues that since late 2025, AI agents such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex, and OpenClaw have shifted humans from collaborating with AI to managing AI, entering a new stage. He cites benchmarks including the METR long-task curve, GPQA (the strongest AI scores 94%), and GDPval (the latest AI meets or exceeds top humans in 82% of scenarios), showing that AI capabilities are still improving exponentially. He takes the Software Factory built by a three-person team at StrongDM as an example: this model stipulates that code must not be written or reviewed by humans, and each engineer spends at least $1,000 per day on AI tokens. He also mentions that on February 22, a fictional report by Citrini Research triggered market volatility; on February 26, Block announced 40% layoffs; and on February 27, the Pentagon and Anthropic clashed over rules for Claude usage. He believes this week foreshadowed a future in which AI capabilities, markets, employment, and policy are intertwined. Dario Amodei of Anthropic, and Demis Hassabis of OpenAI and Google DeepMind, have all mentioned that recursive self-improvement (RSI) is advancing.
e also mentions that on February 22, a fictional report by Citrini Research triggered market volatility; on February 26, Block announced 40% layoffs; and on February 27, the Pentagon and Anthropic clashed over rules for Claude usage. He believes this week foreshadowed a future in which AI capabilities, markets, employment, and policy are intertwined. Dario Amodei of Anthropic, and Demis Hassabis of OpenAI and Google DeepMind, have all mentioned that recursive self-improvement (RSI) is advancing.
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On October 28, 2026, Google DeepMind released Gemini 4 Carbon, calling it its strongest model, ranking first with 59 points on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v5.0, and scoring 88.2% on SEC-bench Pro, 54.8% on ExploitGym, and 71.0% on CWE-bench. The model is aimed at long-horizon engineering tasks and was first opened to some cybersecurity defenders, then expanded through the Fairwind Program, and afterward made available to developers, enterprises, and consumers. On October 29, Arena.ai said Gemini 4 Carbon ranked 2nd in Agent Arena with a net improvement of 16.2%, and was on the Pareto frontier for cost, time, and output tokens per task; the same day, Yuchen Jin cited Artificial Analysis data saying it was smarter than Opus 5.5 and cheaper per task, but noted that the evaluation used the Antigravity CLI. On October 30, the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index showed it in first place with 59 points, 1 point higher than Claude Opus 5.5. On October 31, Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas shared early evaluations
On October 28, 2026, Google DeepMind released Gemini 4 Carbon, calling it its strongest model, ranking first with 59 points on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v5.0, and scoring 88.2% on SEC-bench Pro, 54.8% on ExploitGym, and 71.0% on CWE-bench. The model is aimed at long-horizon engineering tasks and was first opened to some cybersecurity defenders, then expanded through the Fairwind Program, and afterward made available to developers, enterprises, and consumers. On October 29, Arena
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Google DeepMind published a paper proposing the CALLIOPE topic tree construction method: have a large language model tag each document with a small number of keywords and add noise, keep only the high-frequency keywords, and then have a large language model propose topics and classify documents based on them, thereby generating a clearer topic map under strict privacy constraints. Under the strictest privacy setting, human raters preferred CALLIOPE over the embedding-vector-based URANIA on all 3 datasets, with the highest ratio being 76% versus 18%. This method consumes 2 to 5 times as many tokens as URANIA. There are currently no follow-up developments.
Google DeepMind published a paper proposing the CALLIOPE topic tree construction method: have a large language model tag each document with a small number of keywords and add noise, keep only the high-frequency keywords, and then have a large language model propose topics and classify documents based on them, thereby generating a clearer topic map under strict privacy constraints. Under the strictest privacy setting, human raters preferred CALLIOPE over the embedding-vector-based URANIA on all 3
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Google DeepMind published a paper investigating the effects of training Gemma-4 4B with reinforcement learning to write moral arguments. The results showed that on ambiguous cases in MoralChoice, the proportion of answers that changed due to swapping the order of options dropped from 14.3% to 6.6%, but the proportion of sycophantic agreement with users only went from 45.3% to 44.0%, and accuracy on moral fable questions actually fell from 56.5% to 53.4%. Based on this, the paper recommends that when evaluating advice- or judgment-type tasks, consistency and correctness should be tested separately.
Google DeepMind published a paper investigating the effects of training Gemma-4 4B with reinforcement learning to write moral arguments. The results showed that on ambiguous cases in MoralChoice, the proportion of answers that changed due to swapping the order of options dropped from 14.3% to 6.6%, but the proportion of sycophantic agreement with users only went from 45.3% to 44.0%, and accuracy on moral fable questions actually fell from 56.5% to 53.4%. Based on this, the paper recommends that
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Google DeepMind published a paper investigating the effects of training Gemma-4 4B with reinforcement learning to write moral arguments. The results showed that on ambiguous cases in MoralChoice, the proportion of answers that changed due to swapping the order of options dropped from 14.3% to 6.6%, but the proportion of sycophantic agreement with users only went from 45.3% to 44.0%, and accuracy on moral fable questions actually fell from 56.5% to 53.4%. Based on this, the paper recommends that when evaluating advice- or judgment-type tasks, consistency and correctness should be tested separately.
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On October 30, 2026, Google DeepMind published the paper "The Economics of Intelligence," proposing that the economic impact of AGI be characterized by two thresholds—competence (single-task capability) and coordination (agents' ability to collaborate)—and arguing that the economic impact depends on agents' coordination capabilities rather than on individual models becoming stronger. The paper states that AI has already shown changes in lean startups, flattened organizational structures, and a slowdown in hiring for some entry-level positions, but that large-scale unemployment has not yet occurred; most benchmarks test only a single model, whereas firms compete as teams. The paper cites a 100-person test in which groups with complementary pairings performed 32% better than randomly paired groups. On the same day, Ethan Mollick commented on the research, pointing out that an organization is not merely the sum of its best individuals, that a single agent becoming stronger will not change the economy on its own, and that only agents capable of working in coordination may bring about transformation.
On October 30, 2026, Google DeepMind published the paper "The Economics of Intelligence," proposing that the economic impact of AGI be characterized by two thresholds—competence (single-task capability) and coordination (agents' ability to collaborate)—and arguing that the economic impact depends on agents' coordination capabilities rather than on individual models becoming stronger. The paper states that AI has already shown changes in lean startups, flattened organizational structures, and a s
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On October 30, 2026, Google DeepMind published the paper "The Economics of Intelligence," proposing that the economic impact of AGI be characterized by two thresholds—competence (single-task capability) and coordination (agents' ability to collaborate)—and arguing that the economic impact depends on agents' coordination capabilities rather than on individual models becoming stronger. The paper states that AI has already shown changes in lean startups, flattened organizational structures, and a slowdown in hiring for some entry-level positions, but that large-scale unemployment has not yet occurred; most benchmarks test only a single model, whereas firms compete as teams. The paper cites a 100-person test in which groups with complementary pairings performed 32% better than randomly paired groups. On the same day, Ethan Mollick commented on the research, pointing out that an organization is not merely the sum of its best individuals, that a single agent becoming stronger will not change the economy on its own, and that only agents capable of working in coordination may bring about transformation.
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The AI planning tool PlanAssist, developed by Google DeepMind in partnership with the UK government, will be expanded to 12 additional local planning authorities in England, bringing the total number of participants to 15. In early pilots in Barnet, Camden and Dorset, the tool cut the average time planning officers spent assessing household residential applications by 58%, and more than 70% of the generated reports were approved by officers without modification. Built on Gemini, PlanAssist verifies application materials and drawings, checks against heritage protection restrictions and local and national planning policy, reviews past objections, and drafts reports with citations, with the final decision still made by planning officers. The tool has been piloted since June and is now entering a 12-month Beta phase; if testing goes smoothly, the UK government plans to make it available to all local councils in England in 2027.
The AI planning tool PlanAssist, developed by Google DeepMind in partnership with the UK government, will be expanded to 12 additional local planning authorities in England, bringing the total number of participants to 15. In early pilots in Barnet, Camden and Dorset, the tool cut the average time planning officers spent assessing household residential applications by 58%, and more than 70% of the generated reports were approved by officers without modification. Built on Gemini, PlanAssist verif
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The AI planning tool PlanAssist, developed by Google DeepMind in partnership with the UK government, will be expanded to 12 additional local planning authorities in England, bringing the total number of participants to 15. In early pilots in Barnet, Camden and Dorset, the tool cut the average time planning officers spent assessing household residential applications by 58%, and more than 70% of the generated reports were approved by officers without modification. Built on Gemini, PlanAssist verifies application materials and drawings, checks against heritage protection restrictions and local and national planning policy, reviews past objections, and drafts reports with citations, with the final decision still made by planning officers. The tool has been piloted since June and is now entering a 12-month Beta phase; if testing goes smoothly, the UK government plans to make it available to all local councils in England in 2027.
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View story:Google DeepMind expands PlanAssist to 12 more local planning authorities in England
Google DeepMind published a paper proposing the CALLIOPE topic tree construction method: have a large language model tag each document with a small number of keywords and add noise, keep only the high-frequency keywords, and then have a large language model propose topics and classify documents based on them, thereby generating a clearer topic map under strict privacy constraints. Under the strictest privacy setting, human raters preferred CALLIOPE over the embedding-vector-based URANIA on all 3 datasets, with the highest ratio being 76% versus 18%. This method consumes 2 to 5 times as many tokens as URANIA. There are currently no follow-up developments.
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View story:Google DeepMind paper proposes CALLIOPE topic tree method