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East MoneyUpdated Nov 2 16:55

Japan invests $21 billion over three years to reshape its natural gas supply chain and move into powering U.S. AI data centers

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Since 2023, Japanese companies have invested $21 billion globally in mergers and acquisitions and investments to strengthen their control over natural gas supply, and have surpassed the United Kingdom, Canada and Australia to become the largest foreign source of investment in U.S. natural gas resources, accounting for two-fifths of the total over the past four years. The investments are mainly concentrated in shale resources along the U.S. Gulf Coast, and Japanese companies also hope to get involved in U.S. power construction to supply electricity to AI data centers. Last year, Jera acquired the South Mansfield shale gas field in Louisiana for $1.5 billion, and this year Mitsubishi Corporation acquired U.S. shale gas producer Aethon for $7.5 billion.

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Since 2023, Japanese companies have spent $21 billion globally on mergers and acquisitions, investments and other transactions to strengthen their control over natural gas supply.

Over the past few years, as conflicts in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine have caused severe turmoil in global energy markets, Japan, the world's second-largest buyer of liquefied natural gas (LNG), has been striving to ensure its national energy security through diversified investment.

Energy data analytics firm Enverus said the $21 billion investment is mainly concentrated in shale resources along the U.S. Gulf Coast, which both supports Japan's energy security strategy and aligns with President Trump's goal of promoting U.S. energy dominance.

In addition, beyond addressing reserve issues, Japanese companies also hope to take part in the core of U.S. power construction to supply AI data centers, and to serve as a "bridge" for bringing U.S. LNG into developing markets in Asia.

Super cycle

Japan has now surpassed the United Kingdom, Canada and Australia to become the largest foreign source of investment in U.S. natural gas resources, accounting for two-fifths of the total over the past four years.

Saul Kavonic, a senior analyst at MST Financial, said, "After the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran war, Japan's energy procurement underwent a paradigm shift, turning back to strengthening supply chain diversification, even if that requires paying extra costs."

Japan's basic energy plan approved last year sent a key policy signal: natural gas will continue to play a key role in the power system after 2040, and utilities are encouraged to lock in long-term LNG contracts and invest in natural gas resources and export infrastructure.

José Luis Vittor, head of the oil and gas practice at Womble Bond Dickson, said of this, "For the natural gas market, this is a restructuring caused by the geopolitical environment. But for Japan, it is about controlling this resource."

In addition to large investments in U.S. shale gas, Japanese LNG buyers have also stepped up investment in gas fields in Australia, Indonesia and Papua New Guinea over the past six months.

Jera, Japan's largest power generator and the world's largest LNG buyer, spent $1.5 billion last year to acquire the South Mansfield shale gas field in Louisiana. Its global CEO Yukio Kani said the United States "offers tremendous flexibility" in the "global supply portfolio," allowing supply to be redirected to other markets when it exceeds Japan's demand.

Katsuya Nakanishi, CEO of Mitsubishi Corporation, said the company's $7.5 billion acquisition of U.S. shale gas producer Aethon this year will allow the group to send gas to Europe, but the main goal is to supply U.S. customers. He noted, "Aethon's goal is to capture U.S. demand through local production and local consumption."

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East Money