Understand this story
On November 3, 2026, Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick predicted that AI-related capital expenditure could reach $10 trillion to $15 trillion over the next decade, and said this would become the most influential economic force since the birth of the internet. He estimated that over the next 7 to 12 years, hyperscale cloud service providers could invest $800 billion to $1 trillion annually; current progress is only equivalent to the second inning of a nine-inning baseball game, with $2 trillion to $3 trillion in capital already committed or actually deployed. He also estimated that the productivity dividend brought by AI could raise the growth rate of U.S. real GDP by 50 to 70 basis points per year. East Money and Cailian Press both reported this prediction that day, and there have been no subsequent developments so far.
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Developments
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Reports and discussion timeline
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Nov 3
Cailian Press
Goldman Sachs CEO Solomon: Compute Demand Far Exceeds Supply, AI Financing Will Remain Strong Over the Next 12 to 24 Months
Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon said that compute demand far exceeds supply, and that strong financing activity over the next 12 to 24 months will meet part of that demand, with investor demand for subscriptions to large AI financing deals being "very strong." He believes that AI infrastructure construction is still at an early stage, but rising financing costs will change the returns on some projects; Goldman Sachs has secured the lead underwriting role for Anthropic's IPO and is co-leading Meta's $95 billion equity financing plan.
Cailian Press
Morgan Stanley CEO: AI Capital Expenditure Could Reach $15 Trillion Over the Next Decade
Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick expects that AI-related capital expenditure could reach $10 trillion to $15 trillion over the next decade, with hyperscalers potentially investing $800 billion to $1 trillion annually over the next 7 to 12 years. He said current progress is only equivalent to the second inning of a nine-inning baseball game, with $2 trillion to $3 trillion in capital already committed or deployed. He also estimates that the productivity dividend from AI could raise U.S. real GDP growth by 50 to 70 basis points per year.
Cailian PressRelated discussion
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This post contributes to heat; it is not a formal report or confirmed fact.
East Money
Morgan Stanley CEO Pick Expects AI Capital Expenditure to Reach $10 Trillion to $15 Trillion Over the Next Decade
Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick expects that AI-related capital expenditure over the next decade could reach $10 trillion to $15 trillion, making it the most influential economic force since the birth of the internet. He estimates that hyperscale cloud service providers may invest $800 billion to $1 trillion annually over the next 7 to 12 years, and says current progress is equivalent to the second inning of a nine-inning game, with $2 trillion to $3 trillion in capital already committed or actually deployed. He also estimates that the productivity dividend brought by AI could raise the growth rate of U.S. real GDP by 50 to 70 basis points per year.
East MoneyRelated discussion
East Money joined this discussion
This post contributes to heat; it is not a formal report or confirmed fact.
The Paper
Morgan Stanley CEO: AI Capital Expenditure Could Reach $15 Trillion Over the Next Decade
Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick said that capital expenditure in the field of artificial intelligence could reach $10 trillion to $15 trillion over the next decade. He believes that the returns on this investment will be durable over the long term, and that we are still in the early stages of this cycle.
Sina Tech
Morgan Stanley CEO: Hyperscalers May Spend $800 Billion to $1 Trillion Annually Over the Next 7 to 12 Years
Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick said at the HKMA Global Financial Leaders' Investment Summit in Hong Kong that the largest hyperscalers may spend $800 billion to $1 trillion annually over the next 7 to 12 years, and Morgan Stanley estimates that cumulative AI infrastructure spending over the next 10 years could reach $15 trillion. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said capital markets remain willing to absorb AI financing demand, and the main factor limiting deal size is the cost of capital rather than whether funds are sufficient.
East Money
Morgan Stanley CEO: AI Capital Expenditure Could Reach $10-15 Trillion Over the Next Decade
Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick expects that AI capital expenditure could reach $10 trillion to $15 trillion over the next decade, with large tech hyperscalers potentially investing $800 billion to $1 trillion annually over the next 7 to 12 years. He said that $2 trillion to $3 trillion in funding has already been committed or deployed, and noted that the industry is still in the early stage of "the second inning of a nine-inning game."
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