Anthropic's $2 trillion IPO question: how much growth can investors buy
As Anthropic prepares for its IPO, leaked data shows its third-quarter revenue was $16.8 billion, up 45% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding the $16.3 billion total for the first half of 2026; the first half of 2026 had a loss of $80.7 billion, of which $72 billion was an accounting loss from debt-to-equity conversion, and even after excluding that, the loss was still $8.7 billion. The article points out that its revenue is highly concentrated among a few customers; in the first half of the year, two customers contributed 20% of revenue, and it has signed AI infrastructure contracts totaling $600 billion over the next decade, with another $150 billion under negotiation. The article uses SpaceX's $1.77 trillion valuation at IPO and OpenAI's rumored $1.4 trillion private valuation as references to discuss whether a $2 trillion pricing can be accepted by the market.
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