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indigoUpdated Nov 2 15:09

indigo: Profit margins of non-Mag 7 S&P 500 companies have not risen in a decade

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indigo pointed out that the profit margins of the 493 companies in the S&P 500 excluding the Mag 7 have barely risen since 2015, with growth being captured by the leading companies. He believes that the leading companies monopolize computing power, talent, and capital, and reinvest their profits into computing power and R&D, forming an accelerating cycle; after new companies such as Anthropic go public, the Mag 7 may expand into a Mag 8 or Mag 10. He judges that companies unrelated to AI will find it hard to rise further unless their corporate structures are transformed by AI.

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标普 500 里,除了 Mag 7 之外的 493 家公司,利润率从 2015 年到现在几乎没涨!所有增长都被头部拿走了。因为它们垄断了算力、人才和资本,利润再投回算力和研发,智能越来越好,循环越快。等 Anthropic 这些新公司上市,Mag 7 还会变成 Mag 8、Mag 10 👀 循环之外的人就难了,靠个人税收和融资撑着的国家也在变弱,追赶的空间越来越窄。

这只是一种推演,创新不会消失,可方向已经很清楚:和 AI 无关的公司很难再涨,除非企业结构真的被 AI 改造。但我们不希望最后是少数公司控制越来越多的资源 🤔 — 来自 INDIGO 十月月末直播

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indigo